Trends not carried over from last year’s study: next-level process automation and virtualization (now considered an implication of several trends) and next-generation materials (partially represented by other trends).Trends added since last year’s study: industrializing machine learning, Web3, immersive-reality technologies, future of mobility, and future of space technologies.In addition, we updated the selection and definition of trends from last year’s study to reflect the evolution of technology trends: The associations shown on the industry heat map were derived by reviewing the news reports on each trend for references to specific companies within each of the 20 industries. Data on private-market and public-market capital raises are sourced from PitchBook. Data on search engine queries are sourced from Google Trends. Data on news publications are sourced from Factiva. Data on research publications are sourced from the Lens ( Data on patent filings are sourced from Google Patents. Data sources for the scores include the following: (While we recognize that an interest score can be inflated by deliberate efforts to stimulate news and search activity, we believe that each score fairly reflects the extent of discussion and debate about a given trend.) Investment measures the flows of funding from the capital markets into companies linked with the trend. The innovation score combines the patents and research scores the interest score combines the news and search scores. ![]() For each measure, we used a defined set of data sources to find occurrences of keywords associated with each of the 14 trends, screened those occurrences for valid mentions of activity, and indexed the resulting numbers of mentions on a 0–1 scoring scale that is relative to the trends studied. To assess the development of each technology trend, our team collected data on five tangible measures of activity: search engine queries, news publications, patents, research publications, and investment. This study builds on the trend research we shared last year, adding fresh data and deeper analysis to provide a more granular assessment of trends in two thematic groups: Silicon Age, which encompasses digital and IT technologies, and Engineering Tomorrow, which encompasses physical technologies in domains such as energy and mobility. To that end, we have worked with the external and internal experts on the McKinsey Technology Council to identify and interpret 14 of the most significant technology trends unfolding today. And while it remains difficult to predict how technology trends will play out, executives can plan ahead better by tracking the development of new technologies, anticipating how companies might use them, and understanding the factors that affect innovation and adoption. Technology advances give businesses, governments, and social-sector institutions more possibilities to lift their productivity, invent and reinvent offerings, and contribute to humanity’s well-being. Technology continues to be a primary catalyst for change in the world. ![]() ![]() Special Report McKinsey Technology Trends Outlook 2022 (184 pages) (47 pages)
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